AVAAZ.org

This cute little video came across the virtual transom today.

So I thought I’d check it out. Seems to be an “ABC” strategic voting resource, but quite aside from that, even if you don’t agree with the anti-Harper premise, it’s a fun little tool that provides local polling in your riding from various sources which it then extrapolates into a likely projection. Just out of curiosity I entered the two ridings of most interest to me and was actually quite surprised at the results in both cases.

To ensure that the projections weren’t skewed somehow, I also checked on Saanich-Gulf Islands. Looks like Canada’s tiniest minister is going to get re-elected without any difficulty whatsoever and Elizabeth May (who is the AVAAZ “pick” in this instance) will be lucky if she even comes in second.

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17 Comments

Filed under 2011 Canadian Election, Polls

17 responses to “AVAAZ.org

  1. Tomm

    I propose that Jack Layton would be dangerous to the long term health of our nation. He is a divisive leader that may abolish capitalism. I fear for my net pay check, and for non-subsidized private sector job creation.

    We should all vote strategically to ensure Jack Layton doesn’t become our next PM.

    So in Winnipeg North you should vote Liberal to fend off the challenge of the Dippers. In Esquimalt, vote Conservative. In my riding it is also Conservative.

    Save Canada as we know it, and stop Layton from gaining control of the national purse!

  2. Gayle

    He can’t be any worse than Harper. I say give a Layton minority a try.

  3. Tomm

    Gayle,

    I can’t believe you, of all people, would be so heretical. No wonder they call it “Redmonton”.

    I’m going to call your parents up and have them take your keys away on Monday so you don’t do something rash.

  4. Oh come on, Tomm. Layton and the NDP would abolish capitalism? You can’t possibly be at all serious.

  5. Briguyhfx

    It looks like a Liberal front to me. I clicked on a couple of sample ridings (Nunavut, Saanich-Gulf Islands), and in both cases it suggested voting Liberal despite the NDP leading the polling in Nunavut and the Greens leading the polling in Saanich. Vote strategically, but find a better tool.

  6. Briguyhfx

    Actually, I guess Saanich could be correct. The polls which put E. May in front are only reported on the Green site.

  7. CWTF

    Knowing Tomm, nothing is tongue-in-cheek

    — propose that Jack Layton would be dangerous to the long term health of our nation. —
    I feel the same way about Harper. And guess what, he has.

    — He is a divisive leader that may abolish capitalism. —
    Harper runs on divisiveness.
    He has replaced capitalism with corporate welfare.

    — I fear for my net pay check, and for non-subsidized private sector job creation. —
    Under Harper, taxes have gone up for the poor and middle class.
    The government has also grown under Harper….

    — We should all vote strategically to ensure Jack Layton doesn’t become our next PM. —
    Your choice

  8. Darlene

    While it’s nice to see some ridings are leaning Liberal, that doesn’t do me one lick of good here in Kitchener Center. The Conservatives won this riding with 339 votes last election, current projections show we are likely to lose by more this time. It’s all due to the meteoric rise of the NDP.

    My area is a very progressive but fiscally conservative area. I am one of the many who think everything is wonderful when the Tories are in provincially and the Libs are in federally. But the dynamic is way off do to the Tories being far right idiots making the Libs seem sane provincially. Until the province realigns we will not see the Libs in power federally. It saddens me that many people can not differentiate between the two levels of government. Right now the federal Libs would be the right choice but because people don’t do enough research and fall for the hype the province is being polarized into the right/ left dynamic.

  9. Gayle

    Layton is not going to win an election. Best he can do is hold the CPC to a minority. If he ultimately leads the country it will be because the CPC lost a confidence vote nad put Layton there.

    Is that actually going to happen? And if it does is there any chance the LPC are going to support them if the NDP’s plans are to abolish capitalism?

  10. Tomm

    Of course I was being tongue in cheek, but that doesn’t mean the Canada we know today wouldn’t make some hard left turn trying to become a politically correct Utopia.

    I see the blooming of a thousand Human Rights Tribunals and the elimination of poverty and homelessness (in our life time!), except for our soldiers who would be without work and on the street.

  11. tofkw

    Tomm, after your side has completely vilified the centrist party in Ottawa for 5 years now (the one that appeals to the left but governs on the right) they completely brushed off the left flank thinking Canadians would never choose them.

    WRONG!!!

    Instead of building bridges (something I knew Harper was incapable of – thus utterly unqualified as a unified-CPC leader and most especially as PM) the Harperbots completely misread that 62% of Canadian actually hate Harper. There was no outreach and thus no room for growth now. And at some point that 62% would get so fed up that they’d do anything to change the political equation on the Hill.

    Witness now the possibility of Prime Minister Jack Layton leading a coalition.

    Iggy & a Liberal minority doesn’t look so bad now does it?

  12. CWTF

    Wow Tomm fantasize much?

  13. Trainman

    Wow Tomm fantasize much?

    It’s no fantasy CW. The markets took a bit of a nose dive on news of the Layton’s surge in the polls. That should tell you what the average investor thinks of Layton getting his hands on any part of our “free markets”.

  14. Darlene: That’s a very good point you allude to about the alignment of provincial and federal parties and how that relationship affects the vote in relative terms.

  15. Trainman: If you think “the markets” reflect the views of “average investors” then you clearly have a poor grasp on how the stock market actually operates.

  16. Tomm: LOL. I never thought of war as a make work program for soldiers to keep them off the streets, although I suppose that makes perfect sense. Seems to be working wonders in America! 😉

  17. Gayle

    “I see the blooming of a thousand Human Rights Tribunals and the elimination of poverty and homelessness (in our life time!), except for our soldiers who would be without work and on the street.”

    Thanks Tomm. You just sold me on an NDP majority.
    😀

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